Introduction- Page 1, 2 -

Environmental scanning is a technique often employed in a planning process. Before an organization seeks to develop a vision and goals for its desired future, there is important advantage in assessing the environment in which it conducts its business. There is an attempt at least on a macro-basis to understand the trends and issues in the external environment that are likely to impact the organization’s operation and direction. That information along with a careful audit of internal performance becomes the basis for analysis, decision and planning.

When the private sector completes an environmental scan, it is often accompanied by a situation analysis, assessing strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. Business and industry that plan in this manner determine a strategic profile that will hopefully give them a strategic advantage in the environment or market in which they do business. The public sector and education in particular are not accustomed to thinking and posturing in a competitive manner. There is, however, a growing recognition of the need for public schools to prepare students who are increasingly competitive in their pursuit of continuing education and entry into the workforce. Later in the document, information is provided which suggests students and parents are beginning to have a growing number of educational choices through charter schools, schools of choice, home schools and Internet high schools. This new regional planning process emphasizes the opportunities for collaboration and shifts our orientation toward even greater cooperation. More specifically, how can we align our resources and capacity to develop more competent employees who can compete effectively within the total workforce?

The mission of the Michigan Department of Career Development is to develop a system that produces a workforce with the required skills to maintain and enhance the Michigan economy and is the foundation of this planning process.

We have learned that environmental scanning is a formidable task especially the first time. We are more accustomed to operating independently and trying to put square pegs into round holes is frustrating. We have re-discovered our differences in how we define completion and a variety of other measures. The end of the school year and the beginning of summer is a difficult time to mobilize public school forces.

Although new to us on a five-county regional scale, we have discovered a variety of other studies that have been completed which incorporated environmental scanning though often on a more limited basis. A partial list includes housing studies completed in 1997 in Lake and Newaygo counties, two transportation studies sponsored by Michigan Works! West Central and a partnership involving the counties of Lake, Mason and Oceana, the 1994 strategic plan for Lake county in preparation for successfully becoming an Enterprise Zone Community, a 1994 strategic plan for Newaygo county and one now being launched by the Mason County United Way and the West Michigan Child and Family Leadership Council.

Beyond the immediate demands of completing an environmental scan in relatively short order, there are several more significant challenges embodied within this planning process.

  • There is a clear emphasis on new measures of performance
  •  The need to work collaboratively on a regional basis and being convinced there are advantages that will accrue
  • Comparative data raises the bar of measurement but also exposes educational institutions and agencies to criticism if their performance is below the norm
  • The potential that future funding may be tied to performance
  • It is difficult to agree on common measures that we collectively believe have validity
  • There is a concern that data can be misinterpreted or misapplied
  • We compile various data in various ways. We need consistency and comparable data.
  • Making a commitment to continue this process because we believe it is the right thing to do


We wade into this new process for a variety of reasons and motivations. Most of us perceive that it was a requirement. We also understood there was a carrot for this first-time initiative. But hopefully the experience will generate a much stronger motivation driven by the belief that completing an environmental scan and strategic plan has strong merit in its own right. In a memorandum dated March 1, 2000, John Williams, Director of the Office of Career and Technical Preparation wrote: "Meeting workforce development needs in the state, and building educational system capacity through creating a cohesive, collaborative delivery system for meeting the needs of learners at all levels of education, will be enhanced by greater alignment of these initiatives." The impact of technology, an international market and a very competitive global workforce may be the ultimate motivation for a regional community working together.

The Environmental Scan Team wishes to thank all of our regional community stakeholders for their exceptional cooperation as we plagued them with requests for information and then asked for yet more but in some different configuration. We also acknowledge the outstanding contribution of Connie Shoemaker, Executive Assistant, Michigan Works! West Central.

Environmental Scan Team:
William Anderson, Consultant
Mark Bergstrom, West Shore Community College
Richard Cochran, Ferris State University
Larry Emig, Local Elected Official Chairperson
Paul Griffith, Michigan Works! West Central
Ed Haynor, Newaygo County Intermediate School District
George Robinson, Educational Advisory Group Chairperson
Tricia Ryan, Newaygo County Economic Development Office
William Stanek, Workforce Development Board Chairperson
Jerry Svendor, West Shore Community College
Mike Wyman, Michigan Works! West Central



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- Page 3 -

PART I:  OUR REGIONAL COMMUNITY

A. Demographics
Level and Rate of Population Change:


Population 1990 1998 Est % Change
Lake 8,583 10,475 22.0
Mason 25,537 27,950 9.4
Mecosta 37,308 40,006 7.2
Newaygo 38,206 45,784 19.8
Osceola 20,146 22,106 9.7
West Central MWA 129,780 146,321 12.7
Michigan     5.6
United States     8.7

(Source, PY2000) - Annual Planning Information Report

The area is growing at a much faster rate than the state as a whole. The fastest growth rates are being experienced in Lake, where due to the relatively small population, smaller numbers make a larger percentage, and Newaygo, the largest county.

The following chart shows that the population is growing faster than census estimates. The 1998 estimate listed above, already exceeds the 1996 estimate for the year 2000 on a regional basis and for all counties except Newaygo and Osceola. Given our perception of growth, these projections seem conservative and we anticipate the 2000 census will reflect stronger growth.


County 2000 (1996 est) 2010 2020
Lake   10,200 11,300 12,700
Mason   27,300 27,800 28,200
Mecosta   38,400 40,000 41,400
Newaygo   46,600 53,200 61,000
Osceola   22,400 23,600 24,700
West Central   144,900 155,900 168,000

  [Above 1996 estimates (Michigan Department of Management & Budget, Office of the State Demographer)]





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- Page 4 -

Population Characteristics

 POPULATION CHANGES BY AGE, SEX, RACE AND COUNTY

 WEST CENTRAL MICHIGAN MWA
  1980 Census 1990 Census % Change
Total   124,882 129,776 3.9
Age:
Under 5 years   8,934 9,381 5.0
5-17 years   26,155 24,933 -4.7
18-20 years   11,013 9,052 -17.8
21-24 years   9,831 8,349 -15.1
25-44 years   29,085 34,670 19.2
45-54 years   11,255 12,727 13.1
55-59 years   6,328 5,923 -6.4
60-64 years   6,310 6,326 0.3
65-74 years   9,925 10,896 9.8
75-84 years   4,678 5,771 23.4
85 years & over   1,368 1,748 27.8
Sex
  Male   62,158 64,650 4.0
Female   62,724 65,126 3.8
Race/Ethnic
  White 120,462 124,690 3.5
Black   2,864 2,804 -2.1
Native American   657 892 35.8
Asian/Pacific Islander   293 417 42.3
Other   606 973 60.6
Hispanic   1,392 1,959 40.7
County
  Lake   7,711 8,583 11.3
Mason   26,365 25,537 -3.1
Mecosta   36,961 37,308 0.9
Newaygo   34,917 38,202 9.4
Osceola   18,928 20,146 6.4

[ Source: US Bureau of the Census]


  1990 1998
Age 15-19* 9,666 7.4% 11,950 8.2%
20-21 5,436 4.2% 10,351 7.1%
22-54 53,271 41.0% 57,490 39.3%
55 + 30,710 23.7% 34,118 23.3%
Male 64,650 73,022
Female 65,126 73,299

* 1990 Census is Ages 16-19


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Michigan Works! West Central