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Supply-Demand Analysis

The supply and demand of the labor force and occupational skills are inter-woven aspects of the area labor market. There are at least two key questions addressed in this analysis.

  1. Is the labor supply (number of available workers) sufficient to meet the needs of employers? Are there enough workers?
  2. Is the labor supply of workers who have the skills needed for jobs, sufficient and readily available?

In 1998, the area labor force for the five county region (by place of residence) is 67,075, of which 63,050 people (by place of residence) are working, leaving 4,025 persons reported as unemployed. Employment in the five county region (by place of employment) is 44,625. This means that 18,425 workers or a net 29% commute to work outside of our five county region.

From 1996 to 2006, employment in the region is expected to increase by an average of 1,892 jobs per year (PY2000 Annual Planning Information Report). The labor force has expanded by an average of 1,116 workers annually from 1990 to 1998, and is expected to continue to expand at this rate or greater for some time to come.

At this rate the area will have an absolute labor shortage in about six years, if we assume a perfect world where all of the workers available live where the jobs are, and have the skills required for those jobs.

Is the labor supply of workers who have the skills needed for jobs sufficient and readily available?

Where are the jobs and what skill levels are needed for the occupational areas?

The employment forecast by Major Occupational Areas for the ten year period from 1996 through 2006 show the following number of openings projected for this period:

  Employment Growth 10 years Annual Openings (Including replacement workers)
Executive/Administrative/Managerial 700 211
Professional Specialty 935 253
Technicians & Related Support 185 35
Marketing & Sales 515 204
Administrative Support including Clerical 435 186
Service 1,025 400
Agriculture, Forestry, & Related * -280 * 102
Precision Production, Craft & Repair 600 209
Operators, Fabricators, Labors 570 291
Total:   4,695 1,874

[Source: PY2000 Annual Planning Information Report<]BR>
* Most openings are to replace workers retiring or leaving the occupation.]


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Occupations commonly require education or training at these levels.

PS = Post Secondary
B = 4 Year Degree (Example PS/B & A) = Post Secondary 2 to 4 years
A = Associates Degree
T = Specialized Training
O = Training on the Job
AP = Apprenticeship

Employment Sector Often Requires
Executive/Administrative/Managerial PS/B & A
Professional Specialty PS/B & A
Technicians & Related Support PS/B & A & T
Marketing & Sales PS/A & O
Administrative Support including Clerical PS/A & O
Service PS/A & O
Agriculture, Forestry, & Related PS/A & O
Precision Production, Craft & Repair PS/A & AP & O & T
Operators, Fabricators, Labors T & O & AP


Job Skills
Information from the PY2000 Annual Planning Information Report list skill requirements given in the O*NET which is the US Department of Labor Occupational Information Network replacing the Dictionary of Occupational Titles. Information is listed by key skills, which are in addition to the Job Specific Skills a worker needs to perform these jobs. There is considerable duplication of Key Skills. Those at the higher levels of education often function at a higher level for these skills. Items are listed in the order of importance for occupations by educational requirement.

Key Skills for Occupations Requiring at Least a Bachelor=s degree:
Reading Comprehension
Mathematics
Science
Speaking
Critical Thinking
Information Gathering
Judgment and Decision Making
Problem Identification
Active Listening
Writing
Active Learning
Solution Appraisal



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Key Skills for Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree

Reading Comprehension
Information Gathering
Science
Writing
Mathematics
Problem Identification
Critical Thinking
Active Listening
Speaking
Information Organization


Key Skills for Occupations Requiring Post-Secondary Vocational or Technical Training
Problem Identification
Reading Comprehension
Product Inspection
Information Gathering
Operation and Control
Equipment Selection
Information Organization
Active Listening
Operation Monitoring
Judgment and Decision Making


Key Skills for Occupations Requiring Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training
Operation and Control
Speaking
Product Inspection
Reading Comprehension
Problem Identification
Active Listening
Equipment Selection
Mathematics
Information Gathering
Information Organization

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Michigan Works! West Central